Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Sources: Boeing (BA.N) is expected to deliver the new Air Force One after Trump's next term.Market information: FTSE Film will increase the output of CMP slurry in Korea by 30%.
Futures on the Nikkei Stock Exchange of Singapore opened down 175 points to 39,635.The South Korean National Assembly will vote on the impeachment case of Yin Xiyue at 4 pm tomorrow. It is reported that the South Korean National Assembly will hold a plenary meeting at 4 pm on the 14th (3 pm Beijing time) to vote on the motion on impeaching President Yin Xiyue. Opposition parties such as the Common Democratic Party originally planned to vote at 5 pm tomorrow, but the President's Office of the National Assembly moved the voting time forward by one hour. The Office of the Speaker of the National Assembly published news materials in this regard, saying that the impeachment case of Yin Xiyue was reported to the plenary session of the National Assembly this afternoon. According to relevant laws, Congress must vote on the impeachment case 24 hours after it is reported to the plenary session. This vote is a major issue concerning the country, and the President's Office of the National Assembly decided to vote one hour in advance, taking into account the internal discussion time of various parties and other factors.Soochow securities Lu Zhe: The Central Economic Work Conference further boosted confidence in the capital market. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. The meeting analyzed the current economic situation and deployed economic work in 2025. Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, believes that the contents of the meeting will face the adverse changes and influences of the internal and external economic environment directly, with more emphasis on the orientation of policy consistency, and policy coordination will be more important next year. Next year, the strength of macro-policies will be significantly increased, and more concrete and operable policy measures will be introduced, which will provide a strong guarantee for the economy to tide over difficulties in the short term and deepen long-term reforms. Lu Zhe said that the Central Economic Work Conference regards "stabilizing the stock market and the property market" as the basic premise of steady growth, which on the one hand shows that the policy pays more attention to the capital market, and on the other hand shows that stabilizing the capital market and the real estate market is an important working means to boost confidence and enhance expectations. Judging from the key work arrangement of the meeting, the combination of "moderately loose monetary policy" and "more active fiscal policy" and the extraordinary countercyclical adjustment are expected to stabilize the economic fundamentals, provide more macro liquidity for the market, and guide the confidence stability and profit recovery of the capital market. (SSE)
Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① At 07: 50, the outlook index of large-scale manufacturing industry in Japan in the fourth quarter is short-sighted; ② At 10: 35, Hunter, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, made a speech; ③ 15:00 UK merchandise trade account for October; ④ At 16: 00, Villeroy, Governor of the European Central Bank and Governor of the Bank of France, made a speech; ⑤ 17:00 Speech by Robert Holzmann, ECB Management Committee; 6. At 18: 00, the Bundesbank announced the semi-annual forecast report, and the industrial output of the euro zone in October; ⑦ 19:00 Speech by Mario Centeno, ECB Governing Committee and Governor of Portuguese Central Bank; 8: 21: 30 US import price index in November.Saudi institutions are optimistic about investment opportunities in China. Ekta Torani, chief investment officer of KBW Venture Capital Company in Saudi Arabia, recently said in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates that with the increasingly close economic and trade ties between the Gulf region and China, the institution is optimistic about China's "huge investment opportunities" in the fields of health care and biotechnology. (Xinhua News Agency)Haitong Securities: The moderate price reduction of traditional Chinese medicine varieties continues. The domestic pharmaceutical industry is expected to set off a wave of mergers and acquisitions. Haitong Securities released a research report saying that the moderate price reduction of traditional Chinese medicine varieties continues. In 2024, the traditional Chinese medicine industry was under pressure due to the pressure of pharmacy terminal sales and inventory pressure, and it is expected to return to a good situation in the next 25 years. In addition, the continuous technological changes in the pharmaceutical industry, the development of IPO to mergers and acquisitions and the promotion of corporate governance optimization at the shareholder level are the main reasons for promoting mergers and acquisitions in the industry. In terms of fields, mergers and acquisitions are expected to occur intensively in sub-sectors such as medical devices, Chinese medicine, medical services, blood products and scientific research services.